This story on the March 2026 CPI inflation report is developing and will be updated with further details.
Inflation surged in March as consumer prices jumped amid the economic disruptions caused by the Iran war’s impact on the energy market.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday said that the consumer price index (CPI) – a broad measure of how much everyday goods like gasoline, groceries and rent cost – rose 0.9% from a month ago and is 3.3% higher than last year. The annual figure jumped from last month’s 2.4% reading, while the monthly increase also rose markedly from last month’s 0.3% reading.
Expectations vs. reality
Both the 0.9% monthly increase and 3.3% annual rise were in line with the expectations of economists polled by LSEG.
So-called core prices, which exclude volatile measurements of gasoline and food to better assess price growth trends, were up 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.6% from a year ago. Both of those figures were slightly cooler than economists’ predictions of 0.3% and 2.7%, respectively.
The core CPI figures were slightly hotter than February’s readings, which showed prices rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.5% from the prior year.
Economists have noted that inflation data from December 2025 through April 2026 will be affected due to data collection interruptions resulting from last fall’s 43-day government shutdown.
During the shutdown, the BLS wasn’t able to gather data and used a carry-forward methodology to make up for the lack of an October CPI report and missing data in November’s report. Economists say this is likely to impart a downward bias on inflation data until this spring, when fresh data will negate the discrepancy.
The cost of living breakdown
High inflation has created severe financial pressures in recent years for most U.S. households, which are forced to pay more for everyday necessities like food and rent. Price hikes are particularly difficult for lower-income Americans, because they tend to spend more of their already-stretched paychecks on necessities and have less flexibility to save.
Food prices were flat on a monthly basis in March, and were up 2.7% from a year ago. The food at home index declined 0.2% for the month and is up 1.9% over the last year, while the food away from home index is 3.8% higher than a year ago after a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis.
Meats, poultry and fish prices were down 0.5% for the month but remain 5.6% higher than a year ago. Beef and veal prices fell 0.6% in March and are 12.1% higher than last year. Egg prices continued to decline following an avian flu outbreak that impacted supply, with prices down 3.4% for the month and 44.7% from a year ago. The fruits and vegetables index rose 1% in March and is up 4% on an annual basis.
Expert analysis
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